Should You Buy Arweave in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of the Arweave cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Ireland trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our reports are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical standards, HelloSafe has never purchased Arweave or received compensation from entities related to its ecosystem.

Arweave in brief

How much does 1 Arweave cost?

The price of Arweave is up this week. As of today, Arweave is trading at approximately €5.71, showing a positive 24-hour change of +2.85% and fluctuating between €5.46 and €5.75 over the last week. Its market capitalisation stands at around €376.33 million, placing it at #131 among all cryptocurrencies, with an average daily trading volume of about €18.14 million (over the past 3 months). The circulating supply is 65.65 million AR, representing nearly the entire maximum supply, and Arweave currently accounts for about 0.05% of the total crypto market. As with all digital assets, prices remain volatile, presenting both risks and opportunities for investors interested in the growing decentralised storage sector.

Our complete review of the Arweave cryptocurrency

Have recent structural trends, technical signals, and market flows around Arweave (AR) signalled the return of a compelling opportunity in decentralised storage and DePIN? Our latest in-depth analysis leverages up-to-date on-chain indicators, technical signals, market data and competitive context, algorithmically distilled for actionable insights. So, why might Arweave once again represent a strategic entry point in digital infrastructure for 2025 and beyond?

Performance Review and Market Context

Recent Price Evolution

Arweave (AR) is trading at $6.20 (as of June 7, 2025), with the market cap positioned at $407.64M and a robust daily trading volume of $19.64M—a telling sign of liquidity and market confidence even after a marked retracement from its 52-week high of $49.51. While the past six months brought notable correction in line with broader risk-off sentiment in digital assets, the price has consolidated within a narrow weekly range of $5.93–$6.25, suggesting base formation.

Positive Recent Catalysts

2025 has marked a pivotal year for the Arweave ecosystem. The AO Supercomputer mainnet launch in February has been a transformative event—elevating Arweave from purely decentralised storage to the broader, high-growth domain of decentralised compute. In tandem, the mainnet launch of AR.IO lays the foundation for the first permanent “cloud” network, reinforcing Arweave's infrastructural moat.

Recent core network upgrades—namely, the 2.8 and 2.9.4.1 releases—have materially improved performance, reliability and miner incentives, further boosting platform attractiveness for users and developers alike.

Macro & Sector Environment

The macro backdrop in 2025 continues a decisive decentralisation trend, with enterprises and sovereign actors seeking immutable, censorship-resistant data infrastructure. Arweave sits directly at the intersection of two sectoral megatrends—permanent data storage and DePIN (Decentralised Physical Infrastructure Networks)—segments now attracting significant institutional and developer capital.

As the market cycle pivots and risk appetite gradually returns, AR’s unique positioning in this sector stands out as narrative and capital rotate back into high-conviction infrastructure plays.

Technical Analysis

Key Technical Indicators

Technical sentiment leans constructive. RSI (14d) at 58.77 signals positive momentum but leaves room for upside before entering overbought territory, while MACD is positive and climbing (0.03), both hallmarks of a developing bullish phase. The “Strong Buy” synthesis (Investing.com) draws on converging indicators.

Moving averages point to underlying trend support:

• MA20 ($6.09) and MA50 ($6.13) both flag “Buy,” suggesting stabilisation above short- and medium-term floors.
• MA100 ($6.39) and MA200 ($6.43) show “Sell,” but these longer averages are lagging and susceptible to reversal if current price action sustains.

Support & Resistance

Critical near-term support is cemented at $5.93, with the prevailing price action respecting this floor. Short-term resistance stands at $6.25, which—if decisively breached on volume—could catalyse a move toward the next key pivot at $6.22 and beyond.

Structure and Momentum

The tight trading range, combined with sustained liquidity (>$19M daily), reduces short-term tail risks and suggests accumulation. The market structure appears to be resetting, primed for a potential reversal if catalysts materialise and sectoral momentum resumes.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption, Ecosystem & Partnerships

• AO Compute Expansion is a paradigm shift, positioning Arweave within the lucrative decentralised computation market and far beyond traditional storage rivals.
• High Supply Utilisation: 99.47% of total maximum supply is already in circulation—minimising future inflation risk and scarcity overhang.
• Ecosystem Growth: The AO and AR.IO launches, new developer tools, and an expanding dApp universe have spurred renewed developer and institutional interest.
• Major Backers: Early investments from Andreessen Horowitz, Union Square Ventures, and Coinbase Ventures underpin ecosystem credibility.

Attractive Valuation Metrics

At $407M market cap (and just $6.20 per AR), Arweave sits at a significant discount compared to its last cycle’s valuation peak and relative to key competitors like Filecoin—especially considering its unique value proposition as the only decentralised “permaweb” and now, an on-chain compute layer.

Structural Advantages

• Permanent Storage Technology: The “blockweave” structure and proof-of-access mechanism deliver genuine technical moat and unique utility.
• DAO Governance: Decentralised governance since 2020 ensures long-term network alignment.
• Active Community: Global developer and user base continues to grow, amplifying network effects.
• High Liquidity: Consistent $19M+ daily volume on top exchanges (Binance, HTX) ensures low slippage and market entry/exit agility.

Dominance and Positioning

While ranked #131 by market cap, its role as a pioneer in DePIN and foundational permaweb protocol grants critical narrative and technological relevance as regulated adoption accelerates in Europe and globally.

Drivers & Positive Catalysts

• Ongoing Protocol Upgrades: Regular core releases and roadmap transparency.
• Institutional Partnerships: Growing pipeline with data-intensive enterprises.
• Favourable Regulation: Recent EU signals on decentralised infrastructure resilience.
• DePIN & NFT Booms: AR usage is increasingly intrinsic to DeFi, NFT and on-chain compute sectors.

Investment Strategies

Short-Term Entry (Q2–Q3 2025)

• Consider entries on consolidation around $6.00 support, with technical signals primed for a positive breakout.
• Anticipate increased volatility around major protocol upgrade events or breakout moves above immediate resistance.
• High liquidity ensures agility for tactical positions.

Medium-Term Positioning (Next 12-18 Months)

• The continuous adoption of the AO compute platform and new dApps launching on the permaweb could reinforce structural upside.
• Upgrades planned for late 2025/early 2026 position Arweave at the frontier of DePIN and decentralised data markets.
• Monitoring adoption metrics and DePIN sector rotation cycles may offer optimal scaling points.

Long-Term Outlook (2–5 Years)

• Scarcity dynamics, high cultural relevance of permanent data, emergent global regulatory clarity, and the rise of decentralised infrastructure could drive multi-year capital flows into AR.
• Strategic accumulation on technical retracements or ahead of anticipated protocol milestones stands as a prudent approach for risk-managed “buy and hold.”
• The project’s participatory governance and scarcity profile support long-duration theses.

Arweave (AR) Price Forecast Table

Is Now the Right Time to Consider Arweave?

Arweave merges resilient fundamentals, a proven narrative, and a sophisticated technical base into a high-conviction profile within the digital infrastructure sphere. The mainnet launches of AO and AR.IO in early 2025 have propelled the project into a new growth orbit, cementing its leadership in decentralised storage and computational layers.

Key bullish considerations include:

• Outstanding technology differentiation with “permanent web” functionality
• 99%+ supply utilisation—maximising scarcity effect
• Proactive, innovative development team and decentralised governance
• Expanding DePIN adoption and surging real-world demand for censorship-resistant solutions
• Highly liquid markets, simplifying institutional and retail participation

From a risk/reward perspective, current price levels and technical structure leave considerable headroom for re-rating as bullish catalysts compound. The competitive moat, strong backing, and sector macro tailwinds strongly justify renewed investor attention.

In summary, Arweave could well be entering a renewed phase of structural expansion within DePIN and decentralised data. Its fundamentals argue convincingly for consideration in any forward-thinking digital asset portfolio. As always, prudent risk management applies in volatile environments, but the accumulation opportunities at these levels seem particularly attractive, especially ahead of protocol milestones and adoption catalysts.

How to buy Arweave?

It is simple and secure to buy Arweave (AR) online from Ireland, thanks to regulated crypto platforms that support quick euro deposits. Investors can choose between two main methods: buying Arweave outright for actual ownership (known as spot buying), or trading its price movements via Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which does not involve owning real AR coins. Each method comes with its own advantages and risks, and both offer transparent fees. For a detailed comparison of the best platforms for Arweave, see our comparison table further down the page.

Spot Purchase

A spot purchase means buying Arweave (AR) directly and owning the coins in your crypto wallet. You can store them safely and benefit if the price rises. Spot platforms typically charge a fixed commission per transaction, set in euro.

Example: Spot Purchase Gain Scenario

For example, with AR trading at $6.20 USD (about €5.70* per AR), a €1,000 investment (after approx. €5 fee) allows you to buy roughly 174 AR coins.
✔️ Gain scenario: If Arweave’s price rises by 10%, your portfolio’s value increases to €1,100. That’s a gross gain of €100, or +10%.

Trading via CFDs

With CFDs (Contracts for Difference) on Arweave, you speculate on the price without actually owning the coin. You can profit from rising or falling prices, often using leverage. The main costs are the spread (difference between buy/sell prices) and overnight funding fees if you keep your position open more than one day.

Example: CFD Trading Gain Scenario

For example, with €1,000 and 5x leverage, your exposure becomes €5,000.
✔️ Gain scenario: If Arweave’s price jumps by 8%, your position delivers a return of 8% × 5 = 40%. That’s €400 profit on your €1,000 stake (before fees).

Final Tips

Before investing, always compare the fees and conditions of each platform—fees and leverage conditions can significantly impact your results. The right method depends on your financial goals and investment experience. For more details, see our platform comparison below.

*Indicative exchange rate as of June 2025.

Our 7 tips for buying Arweave

The latest news from Arweave

Technical indicators currently signal a strong buy for Arweave with positive short-term momentum and high liquidity. The asset’s RSI stands at 58.77 and MACD at 0.03, both considered buy signals, and the 20- and 50-day moving averages reinforce this positive outlook. While the 100- and 200-day trends remain neutral to slightly negative, near-term trading has been buoyant, with a 24-hour price gain of +2.85% and robust daily turnover ($19.64M). This stability and technical resilience are particularly significant for the Irish market, where institutional and private investors closely watch momentum indicators and liquidity on major platforms.

Arweave continues to strengthen its ecosystem, with its London-based team driving innovation directly impacting the wider UK and Irish markets. Headquartered in London, Arweave’s operational proximity provides Irish stakeholders with enhanced access to its core team, regulatory transparency under UK common law, and a growing talent pool in decentralized storage infrastructure. This regional advantage can foster local partnerships and adoption, particularly as the Irish digital economy emphasizes secure information archival, compliance, and robust cloud infrastructure.

Recent mainnet launches, notably AO Supercomputer and AR.IO, expand Arweave’s reach from permanent storage into decentralized high-performance computing. The AO platform, launched in February 2025, diversifies Arweave’s value proposition by including decentralized computing—a key driver for institutional adoption and enterprise-grade applications within Ireland’s tech and finance sectors. Meanwhile, the AR.IO mainnet powers the first permanent, decentralized cloud network, reinforcing infrastructure reliability and offering censorship-resistant solutions attractive for regulated industries and academic institutions across Ireland.

Network upgrades have enhanced Arweave’s technical efficiency and reliability, supporting sustained growth and user confidence. Recent updates to the core protocol—such as the 2.8 and 2.9.4.1 releases—introduce new data-packing standards and resolve mining issues, ensuring network stability and performance. For Irish developers and local bloc-tech startups, these enhancements reduce operational risks and encourage integration of permanent data solutions within indigenous platforms and enterprise workflows.

Arweave’s supply is almost fully distributed, supporting a transparent and potentially deflationary tokenomics favored by investor communities in Ireland. With 99.47% of the maximum AR supply now circulating and no further major dilutions expected, the token’s scarcity narrative is solidified. This dynamic is especially relevant for Irish investors seeking transparent, finite-supply digital assets as part of diversified portfolios, and aligns with a growing trend among local institutions toward blockchain-based holdings with verifiable supply metrics.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.