Should I buy Archer-Daniels-Midland stock in 2025? Expert Advice for Investors in Ireland

What is Archer-Daniels-Midland?

How much is the Archer-Daniels-Midland stock?

The price of Archer-Daniels-Midland stock is rising this week. As of now, ADM shares are trading at $48.37, up 0.04% in the past 24 hours and showing a +1.23% gain over the last week. The company’s current market capitalization stands at $23.24 billion, with an average daily trading volume of 4.36 million shares over the past three months. ADM’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 17.03, and it offers a healthy dividend yield of 4.22%. The stock’s beta is 0.67, indicating lower volatility compared to the market—a factor that can appeal to investors in Ireland seeking more stable international exposure.

Our full analysis of the Archer-Daniels-Midland stock

Having carefully reviewed Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)’s latest quarterly results, stock price evolution since 2022, and a broad spectrum of financial, technical, and sectoral analytics—integrated via our proprietary decision algorithms—we are seeing signals of renewed strength in this global agricultural powerhouse. Even against the background of challenging recent earnings and modest price action, the convergence of favorable technical setups, underlying value, and sectoral resilience is prompting many to revisit ADM’s strategic positioning within global food and agribusiness. So, why might Archer-Daniels-Midland stock once again become a compelling entry point for defensives and commodity-linked equities as we approach the second half of 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Over the past year, ADM’s share price has faced notable volatility—declining by 19.42% across 12 months and 11.41% over six months to its current level of $48.37 (as of 30 May 2025). However, price action appears to be stabilising, registering a weekly gain of +1.23% and a resilient intraday performance (+0.04%), hinting at the possibility that ADM has found a near-term floor.

• Q1 2025 earnings, published on 6 May, matched consensus expectations despite a lower net profit ($295 million, a 60% YoY decrease), demonstrating operational consistency even amid raw material headwinds.
• The company reaffirmed annual guidance while unveiling decisive cost-reduction strategies, including withdrawal from loss-making domestic trading activity in China.
• Continuation of generous shareholder remuneration: The declared dividend of $0.51 per share, payable on 11 June 2025, maintains a robust 4.22% yield—considerably above the S&P 500 average and attractive to income-minded investors.

From a sector standpoint, ADM stands firmly within the “defensive consumer goods/agricultural products” universe, which is expected to benefit as global inflation pressures ease, commodity prices normalise, and stable food supply chains regain emphasis. Irish investors, in particular, may view ADM as a global bellwether for food security verticals—especially as the domestic market seeks diversification away from higher-multiple tech and cyclical assets.

Technical Analysis

• Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 51.76 is neutral, neither overbought nor oversold, and could pivot higher if buyers step in.
• MACD stands at -0.09, a mild sell signal, but the negative momentum is flattening, implying downside may be exhausted.
• 20-day Moving Average ($48.35) has crossed below longer averages, but with the current close only marginally above the 20-day, an imminent crossover could offer a renewed buy signal.
• Strong support at $47.94 (day’s low) has held despite headwinds, while $50.03 acts as a key resistance—should ADM break above this, it may catalyse a stronger bullish reversal.
• The stock remains well above its 52-week low of $40.98, suggesting the worst of the drawdown may be behind it.

Short- to medium-term momentum appears to be stabilising, with risk/reward dynamics improving as technical downside risks abate. The convergence of price, major moving averages, and robust support levels often signals potential for a new bullish phase.

Fundamental Analysis

• Revenue (FY 2024): $85.53 billion, with annualised EPS guidance for 2025 in the $4.00–4.75 range.
• While net income in Q1 2025 fell 60% YoY—partly reflecting cyclically low soybean crush margins—the company is positioned for margin recovery in H2 2025 as soybean processing margins rebound (expected from $13 to $40–$65 per tonne).
• Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio at 17.03 is highly reasonable relative to both the broad market and ADM’s historic range, especially given its defensive profile and forward earnings potential.
• Dividend yield at 4.22% ($2.04 annualised per share) is not only secure but also consistently above peers, underscoring ADM’s shareholder commitment.

Structurally, ADM’s global network and diversification into high-growth Nutrition and food ingredients markets (away from pure commodity exposures) underpin its long-term market share and brand leadership. Extended logistics infrastructure and global reach reinforce the company’s ability to mitigate geopolitical and supply chain shocks. This is a cornerstone for investors seeking sustainable exposure to the agriculture and food sector.

Volume and Liquidity

• Average daily trading volume of 4.36 million shares ensures that investors can establish or unwind sizeable positions with minimal market impact.
• The stock’s free float (477.1 million shares) enables robust participation by both institutional and retail investors, supporting dynamic fair value discovery.

High, steady trading volumes combined with substantial market capitalisation ($23.24 billion) reflect ongoing market confidence—ADM’s shares continue to represent a liquid entry point, making it accessible for a variety of portfolio strategies.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

• Soy processing margin recovery forecasted for H2 2025: This is expected to directly uplift earnings and cash flows.
• Commodities rebound: Soybean prices are currently oversold, enhancing near-term upside optionality as cyclical pressures unwind.
• Strategic focus on higher-margin Nutrition segment: ADM’s ongoing investments and innovation in food ingredients and specialty nutrition diversify its earnings base and position it for above-peer growth.
• Operational streamlining and international focus: Actions such as the recent China retrenchment signify ADM’s willingness to rapidly adapt, preserve margins, and allocate capital efficiently.
• Robust ESG and sustainability initiatives: As global food demand rises and environmental scrutiny intensifies, ADM’s leadership on sustainability places it ahead of regulatory and investment trends—key for asset managers and ESG-focused portfolios.

Additionally, the generally improving macro backdrop—with lower inflation expectations, normalising commodity cycles, and demand recovery across emerging markets—should provide tailwinds through the remainder of 2025.

Investment Strategies

Given current positioning, ADM appears to offer a variety of attractive entry strategies:

• Short Term (Speculative and Tactical Buyers):
• Traders may look to initiate positions near technical support at $48, targeting a move to $50–$52 on a confirmed break above resistance.
• The upcoming dividend payout further enhances near-term total return potential.
• Medium Term (Trend Followers):
• Investors eyeing the H2 2025 earnings recovery story may find the present consolidation phase a timely window to accumulate shares ahead of anticipated margin improvements.
• Long Term (Income and Value Investors):
• For those seeking steady yield, balance sheet robustness, and a hedge against inflation or market volatility, ADM’s combination of high dividend yield, defensive business, and emerging growth levers in food nutrition stand out.
• Strategic diversification into ADM at these levels may enhance the overall risk-adjusted return profile of broader, multi-asset portfolios—especially for Irish investors seeking global exposure denominated in USD.

Is It the Right Time to Buy Archer-Daniels-Midland?

• Essential global franchise with enduring logistics and sourcing advantages.
• Attractive, secure yield and prudent capital allocation.
• Signs of bottoming-out in technical indicators, with robust support and imminent positive sector catalysts.
• Valuation firmly anchored in historical norms, with latent upside as macro and operational headwinds ease.

With compelling risk/reward characteristics, supportive market sentiment, and a clear roadmap for earnings recovery and shareholder returns, Archer-Daniels-Midland stock seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking stability, income, and defensiveness allied to the prospect of renewed secular growth. The convergence of strengthening fundamentals, technical inflection points, and strategic sector tailwinds justifies close, renewed interest ahead of what could be the next bullish phase for ADM as we move through 2025.

For those seeking resilient exposure to the ever-critical intersection of global food supply, agricultural innovation, and defensiveness, ADM may be exceptionally well-positioned—marking this moment as a potentially strategic entry point to capitalise on sectoral shifts and long-term value creation.

How to buy Archer-Daniels-Midland stock in Ireland?

Buying shares of Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) online is now a straightforward and secure process for Irish investors, thanks to regulated brokers offering access to global stocks. The two main ways to get exposure are: spot buying (direct share ownership) and CFD trading (speculative instruments allowing both long and short positions with leverage). Both approaches can be completed in minutes, right from your phone or computer, via leading brokers. To help you find the best fit for your needs, a detailed broker comparison is available further down the page.

Spot Buying

Spot buying involves purchasing Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) shares outright through a regulated broker. This makes you a direct shareholder, with rights to dividends and any capital appreciation. Irish investors typically pay a fixed commission per trade in US dollars or euros; leading online brokers may charge around $5 (approx. €4.60) per order.

Important example

Example:
If the ADM share price is $48.37, with $1,000 you can buy about 20 shares (20 × $48.37 = $967.40), after including a $5 brokerage fee for your order.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If ADM’s share price rises by 10%, your holdings would be worth $1,100.
Result: That’s a gross gain of $100 on your initial $1,000 – a 10% return, before taxes and fees.

Trading via CFD

CFDs (Contracts for Difference) let you speculate on ADM’s share price movements without owning the underlying shares. With CFDs, you can trade both rising and falling markets, and apply leverage (borrowed funds) to increase your exposure. Fees typically include the spread (difference between buy and sell price) and overnight financing for leveraged positions.

Important example

Example:
You invest $1,000 in ADM CFDs using 5x leverage, giving you market exposure of $5,000.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If ADM’s share price increases by 8%, the value of your position rises by 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: That’s a $400 gain on your $1,000 margin (excluding spread and overnight fees), offering amplified potential returns—along with higher risk.

Final Advice

Before investing, take the time to compare the fees, commissions, and trading conditions offered by different brokers listed in our comparison table below. Your choice should reflect your objectives: whether you seek long-term ownership and dividends, or prefer active strategies using leverage. Investing in Archer-Daniels-Midland is accessible and flexible—start by selecting the approach and provider that best matches your investment style.

Our 7 tips for buying Archer-Daniels-Midland stock

The latest news about Archer-Daniels-Midland

ADM has confirmed the payment of a $0.51 per share dividend to be distributed on 11 June 2025. This upcoming dividend distribution reinforces the company’s continuous commitment to shareholder remuneration, with the current yield standing at an attractive 4.22%. For Irish investors, US dividends are subject to withholding tax, but Ireland’s double tax treaty with the United States permits a tax credit mechanism, preserving the stock’s steady income profile, which remains appealing within defensive portfolios such as pension funds and income-seeking investment strategies.

Q1 2025 financial results published on 6 May 2025 matched analyst expectations and confirmed full-year outlook. Despite a year-over-year net profit decline largely driven by sector-wide commodity volatility, ADM met market expectations for Q1 2025 with a quarterly revenue of $20.18 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.70. The ongoing alignment with guidance and analyst forecasts helps underpin investor confidence in the company's operational resilience, which is significant for international stakeholders, including institutional investors in Ireland focused on forecast reliability.

ADM shares have gained 1.23% over the past week, outperforming their recent six-month trend. This positive short-term price movement contrasts with a broader downward trajectory observed over the past six and twelve months, suggesting a tentative stabilisation that could signal a shift in sentiment. As global agricultural and food supply chains remain of strategic importance to Ireland’s own food industry, the improved weekly stock performance is a notable signal for analysts monitoring correlations and exposure across the Irish agrifood sector.

ADM continues its global expansion in higher-margin Nutrition, reinforcing its sector leadership and European presence. With a robust international footprint, including extensive operations in the UK and European markets, ADM’s focus on expanding its Nutrition segment aligns well with key trends in food innovation and sustainability. These developments are particularly relevant to Irish market participants given strong agri-business and food technology links between Ireland and the broader European ecosystem, as well as ADM’s potential as a strategic partner or supplier.

Consensus analyst price target remains above current price, reflecting stable market confidence despite recent headwinds. The current consensus price target sits at $49.27, a premium to today’s share price, and the consensus recommendation is ‘Hold’. This outlook is supported by the anticipated recovery in soybean processing margins later in 2025, which may boost profitability. For Irish-based investors and funds, such consensus and the company’s proven resilience during cycles add a measure of confidence when considering the stock for defensive international allocations.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.