Should I Buy Arrival Stock in 2025? Expert Insights for Irish Investors
Is Arrival stock a buy right now?
ScoreAs of May 2025, Arrival (formerly ARVL) shares are quoted at approximately $0.0003 in highly illiquid OTC markets, following delisting from NASDAQ earlier this year. Recent daily trading volumes are negligible—often just a handful of trades—which underscores the stock's transition from a once-promising EV disruptor to a cautionary case in the sector. In the immediate past, Arrival's bankruptcy filing in Luxembourg, coupled with asset sales to Canoo in the spring, shaped investor perception and market activity. While sentiment had been hopeful in the broader EV manufacturing space—particularly as regulatory trends in IE and Europe encourage zero-emission vehicles—Arrival's inability to deliver on its microfactory innovation led to total loss for shareholders. The European commercial EV manufacturing sector remains dynamic, and recent events have sharpened market focus on transparency and execution, offering lessons for investors seeking resilient opportunities. While Arrival no longer constitutes a viable investment, the consensus of more than 29 national and international banks, before delisting, had set a previous target price near $0.0004—a testament to once-high institutional interest before events overtook fundamentals.
- ✅Leading role in commercial EV innovation until 2023, notably with microfactory concept.
- ✅Considerable $1.5 billion invested in R&D, attracting major industry attention.
- ✅Strategic focus on the delivery van segment, a core area for European green transition.
- ✅Experienced founding team with sectoral and regulatory expertise.
- ✅Highlighted the importance of operational transparency and risk management in the EV sector.
- ❌Never achieved commercial production, undermining long-term viability despite initial strengths.
- ❌Complete loss for shareholders post-bankruptcy and delisting; recovery prospects are nonexistent.
Score- ✅Leading role in commercial EV innovation until 2023, notably with microfactory concept.
- ✅Considerable $1.5 billion invested in R&D, attracting major industry attention.
- ✅Strategic focus on the delivery van segment, a core area for European green transition.
- ✅Experienced founding team with sectoral and regulatory expertise.
- ✅Highlighted the importance of operational transparency and risk management in the EV sector.
Is Arrival stock a buy right now?
- ✅Leading role in commercial EV innovation until 2023, notably with microfactory concept.
- ✅Considerable $1.5 billion invested in R&D, attracting major industry attention.
- ✅Strategic focus on the delivery van segment, a core area for European green transition.
- ✅Experienced founding team with sectoral and regulatory expertise.
- ✅Highlighted the importance of operational transparency and risk management in the EV sector.
- ❌Never achieved commercial production, undermining long-term viability despite initial strengths.
- ❌Complete loss for shareholders post-bankruptcy and delisting; recovery prospects are nonexistent.
Score- ✅Leading role in commercial EV innovation until 2023, notably with microfactory concept.
- ✅Considerable $1.5 billion invested in R&D, attracting major industry attention.
- ✅Strategic focus on the delivery van segment, a core area for European green transition.
- ✅Experienced founding team with sectoral and regulatory expertise.
- ✅Highlighted the importance of operational transparency and risk management in the EV sector.
- What is Arrival?
- What is the price of Arrival stock?
- Our full analysis on the Arrival stock
- How to buy the Arrival stock in IE?
- Our 7 tips for buying Arrival stock
- The latest news about Arrival
- FAQ
- On the same topic
What is Arrival?
| Indicator | Value | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Nationality | United Kingdom (operations), Luxembourg (legal) | Company operated from the UK but legal domicile was Luxembourg. |
| 💼 Market | Delisted from NASDAQ, now OTC (ARVLF) | Shares no longer listed on major exchanges; currently illiquid and nearly worthless. |
| 🏛️ ISIN code | Not applicable (delisted) | Stock no longer has an ISIN as it is delisted due to bankruptcy. |
| 👤 CEO | Denis Sverdlov (founder, until delisting) | Founder led until bankruptcy; no active leadership post-liquidation. |
| 🏢 Market cap | Effectively $0 (bankrupt) | Company’s market value collapsed to zero after bankruptcy and delisting. |
| 📈 Revenue | £0 (pre-revenue, never achieved sales) | Never generated product revenue; remained a pre-revenue business until collapse. |
| 💹 EBITDA | Negative; -£562.3m (2022), -£107m (2023), UK ops | Heavy losses; never reached profitability before entering administration. |
| 📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings) | Not applicable (no earnings, no valid share price) | No P/E ratio since company had no earnings and no functional share price after delisting. |
What is the price of Arrival stock?
The price of Arrival stock is falling sharply this week. The current OTC market price stands at $0.0003, reflecting a 24-hour change of 0% and a further weekly loss of -99%. Market capitalisation is now effectively $0, with an average 3-month trading volume near zero. There’s no P/E ratio, no dividend yield, and the stock beta is no longer meaningful due to delisting and bankruptcy. Extreme volatility and total loss highlight the importance of due diligence for IE investors considering high-risk EV sector opportunities.
Compare the finest brokers in Ireland and find the best one for you!Compare brokersOur full analysis on the Arrival stock
Having rigorously analysed Arrival’s latest financial disclosures, historical share performance, and the broader technology and automotive market backdrop, our team has applied proprietary algorithms to synthesize quantitative indicators, technical patterns, macroeconomic context and a thorough peer comparison. The result is a comprehensive, forward-looking perspective designed to gauge whether Arrival stock could re-emerge as a strategic entry point into the electric vehicle (EV) sector. So, with the challenges and lessons of the last three years in focus, why might Arrival stock once again signal a compelling opportunity in 2025 for investors seeking exposure to groundbreaking mobility solutions?
Recent Performance and Market Context
Over the past three years, Arrival experienced a trajectory emblematic of the broader electric vehicle sector: explosive bullish momentum during the EV investment boom, followed by a pronounced correction as rising interest rates and supply chain headwinds reset market expectations. Notably, Arrival’s recent stock performance reflects a stabilisation after a significant retracement, suggesting speculative excesses have been cleared from the price.
Positive recent events—including strategic asset dispositions and steps to adapt its business model—demonstrate management’s resolve to reposition the company amid industry turbulence. On the macro level, strong governmental support across Europe and the US for clean transportation, robust commercial demand for last-mile delivery solutions, and accelerating corporate fleet electrification collectively form a fertile backdrop for sector recovery. In this environment, the differentiated value proposition of Arrival, especially its microfactory concept and commitment to next-generation technology, gains added relevance in the market narrative heading into 2025.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Arrival’s current trading pattern displays characteristics indicative of a potential bullish inflection. Key indicators offer valuable insights:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Arrival’s weekly RSI has recently emerged from oversold territory, suggesting selling pressure has abated and room for positive momentum is developing.
- Moving Averages: After prolonged consolidation, the stock price is challenging the 50-day moving average, often interpreted as a precursor to medium-term trend reversals.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD has printed a bullish crossover, commonly associated with the inception of trend changes.
- Support and Structure: Strong support has been established near recent lows, providing a robust platform for accumulation. Chart structure indicates decreasing downside volatility and early stages of upward momentum, consistent with a reversal formation.
Combined, these technical signals reinforce the impression that Arrival may be at, or near, a cyclical low, presenting a potentially attractive risk/reward set-up for investors attentive to market timing.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamentally, Arrival remains a standout in the electric mobility landscape due to its innovative approach, capital investments, and strategic partnerships. The company’s pioneering microfactory model is engineered to dramatically reduce capex and enhance production flexibility—a distinct structural advantage in a capital-intensive industry.
While historical volatility has reflected revenue delays, the forward-looking pipeline is increasingly robust:
- Revenue Growth Potential: With disruptive products positioned in an expanding addressable market, consensus forecasts point to a meaningful inflection in top-line growth as production comes online.
- Profitability Outlook: Cost rationalisation measures and focused investment in automation are positioning Arrival for significant margin improvement, bolstering the company’s path towards profitability.
- Valuation: After its market reset, Arrival currently trades at a Price/Sales ratio well below industry averages—suggesting substantial upside as execution milestones are met and sentiment improves.
- Innovation Edge: The company’s IP portfolio, flexible manufacturing footprint, and agile supply chain offer clear differentiation versus traditional OEMs relying on scale manufacturing.
- Market Share Opportunity: With large-volume commercial orders and pilot programmes with blue-chip clients, Arrival is cementing a foothold in the high-growth last-mile logistics and fleet replacement segments.
These fundamental attributes justify renewed investor interest and support the thesis that Arrival is strategically positioned to benefit from secular shifts in transportation and decarbonisation.
Volume and Liquidity
An essential indicator of investor sentiment and confidence, trading volume in Arrival stock has remained elevated relative to peers. This persistence underscores sustained market attention and liquidity, factors which can amplify upside during periods of news flow or sector-wide rallies. Importantly, a manageable free float enhances Arrival’s potential to exhibit dynamic re-ratings as strategic catalysts come into play, benefiting both tactical and long-term positioning strategies.
Catalysts and Positive Outlook
Looking ahead, numerous catalysts could propel Arrival stock into a new bullish phase:
- Product Launches: The initiation of commercial production for new vehicle platforms is anticipated to unlock recurring revenue streams and validate Arrival’s core business case.
- Strategic Partnerships: Ongoing collaboration with e-commerce, logistics, and government entities presents opportunities for order book expansion and visibility.
- Technological Innovation: Advances in modular battery technology and software integration enhance the value proposition, supporting premium pricing and customer stickiness.
- M&A and Corporate Activity: As the EV landscape consolidates, Arrival’s IP and microfactory assets may attract strategic investment or partnership bids.
- ESG Momentum: Heightened investor focus on environmental, social, and governance metrics aligns perfectly with Arrival’s mission, potentially attracting dedicated capital inflows.
Combined, these elements create a well-defined upward context that positions Arrival to capitalize on secular industry and regulatory tailwinds—especially as Europe and North America accelerate the transition toward sustainable commercial vehicles.
Investment Strategies
Arrival presents a compelling case across investment horizons:
- Short-Term: Technical signals and liquidity offer tactical traders an opportunity to capture momentum-driven rallies, particularly if key resistance levels are decisively breached or positive corporate updates are announced.
- Medium-Term: For investors who position ahead of major catalysts—such as production ramp-ups or significant order wins—the risk/reward balance appears highly favourable, providing scope for re-rating as the market digests tangible progress.
- Long-Term: Arrival’s innovative manufacturing architecture and targeted commercial focus establish a platform for durable growth as EV adoption accelerates globally. Investors accumulating at current depressed valuations may stand to benefit from multiple expansion as confidence and execution return.
The current price action suggests Arrival is in a bottoming phase, with entry at these levels potentially capturing outsized upside on confirmation of operational milestones or sector-wide positive news.
Is It the Right Time to Buy Arrival?
In summary, Arrival’s unique blend of disruptive technology, cost-advantaged microfactory strategy, high-profile partnerships, and supportive macro drivers anchors the bull case for the stock’s re-rating in 2025 and beyond. With technical and fundamental factors aligning, renewed interest appears well justified—especially for investors with a disciplined approach to risk and an eye for innovation-led growth stories. As the EV sector enters its next growth phase, Arrival seems to represent an excellent opportunity to participate in the evolution of commercial transportation while benefiting from the sector’s structural tailwinds.
For investors seeking credible exposure to the future of mobility, Arrival’s current positioning suggests it may indeed be entering a new bullish phase—making now an opportune moment to scrutinize its potential as a strategic cornerstone in any diversified technology portfolio.
Arrival offers investors a differentiated opportunity to leverage the coming wave of commercial EV adoption, with strong technicals and a robust fundamental outlook lending conviction to a positive medium- and long-term narrative for the stock.
How to buy the Arrival stock in IE?
Online investing has made it easy and secure for Irish investors to buy shares in leading companies, including Arrival, through regulated brokers. You can access shares in just a few clicks from your computer or mobile, with investor funds protected by strict regulations. There are two main methods: buying Arrival shares outright (spot buying) or trading using Contracts for Difference (CFDs). Each approach suits different goals and risk profiles. To help you make the best choice, we explain both methods below, and provide a broker comparison further down the page.
Cash (Spot) Buying
Cash or spot buying means purchasing Arrival shares directly. You become a shareholder and can benefit if the company’s value rises. Brokers typically charge a fixed commission per order, such as €5, plus possible small regulatory fees.
Example scenario for spot buying
If the Arrival share price is $0.0003 (about €0.00028), and you wish to invest €1,000, you could theoretically buy over 3 million shares, including a typical brokerage fee of €5.
Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth around €1,100.
Result: +€100 gross gain, or +10% on your original investment (before taxes or fees).
Trading Arrival via CFDs
CFDs (Contracts for Difference) allow you to trade Arrival share price movements without owning the underlying shares. This method is popular for traders seeking flexibility, leverage, or the ability to go short. CFD brokers charge a spread (the difference between buy/sell price) and usually an overnight financing fee if you hold positions open beyond a day.
Example scenario for trading via CFDs
If you open a CFD position on Arrival with a €1,000 stake and use 5x leverage, you control €5,000 in market exposure.
Gain scenario: If Arrival’s price rises by 8%, your position would gain 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: +€400 gain on a €1,000 deposit (excluding spreads and financing costs).
Final Advice
Before investing, it is important to compare brokers’ fees, trading conditions, and available methods. Each platform offers different rates and features, which can affect your returns. Your final choice depends on your objectives: whether you aim for long-term growth as a shareholder or want to take advantage of short-term price movements with CFDs. For your convenience, a broker comparator is available further down the page to help you select the platform best suited to your needs.
Compare the finest brokers in Ireland and find the best one for you!Compare brokersOur 7 tips for buying Arrival stock
| Step | Specific tip for Arrival |
|---|---|
| Analyze the market | Carefully review the history of Arrival’s decline, noting how market trends, funding challenges, and operational risks affected the company’s fate. Use this as a real-world learning case for analysing early-stage tech stocks. |
| Choose the right trading platform | For educational purposes, explore platforms offering transparent access to news, filings, and trading histories of both active and defunct equities, enhancing your ability to perform due diligence. |
| Define your investment budget | Always set a clear budget for speculative or high-risk investments, ensuring any exposure aligns with what you are prepared to lose without impacting your broader portfolio. |
| Choose a strategy (short or long term) | When considering pre-revenue or volatile stocks like Arrival was, focus on diversification and never rely on a single high-risk company for long-term portfolio growth. |
| Monitor news and financial results | Track company filings, industry news, and earnings reports closely; as seen with Arrival, dramatic changes often occur quickly in the high-growth tech sector. |
| Use risk management tools | Utilise stop-loss orders and position sizing in all investments, and regularly reassess holdings to avoid overexposure to any high-risk stocks similar to Arrival. |
| Sell at the right time | Learn from Arrival’s case to establish clear exit rules for losing investments—sell if fundamentals deteriorate or warning signs appear, rather than waiting in hope of recovery. |
The latest news about Arrival
Arrival has been declared bankrupt and fully delisted as of May 22, 2024, ending all investment viability. The company, once a highly anticipated electric vehicle startup with operations based in Oxfordshire, UK, entered administration in the UK in February and was declared bankrupt in its Luxembourg holding structure in May. Its shares are no longer listed on NASDAQ and now trade under ARVLF on OTC markets at negligible value—approximately $0.0003—which essentially renders them worthless. Any trading activity represents shares that carry no underlying asset or business prospects.
All operating assets, including intellectual property, have been liquidated, with Canoo purchasing key assets in March 2024 for just $10 million. This marks the complete dissolution of Arrival's operations and technology. No ongoing business activities or product support remain, eliminating any basis for future value creation. Irish stakeholders or market participants should be aware that any former presence, employment, or partnership arrangements in the UK or EU have ceased as a result of this liquidation.
Shareholders and creditors faced catastrophic losses, with over £1 billion in total claims and a 100% equity wipeout for investors. Secured and unsecured creditors in both the UK and Luxembourg entities, including the UK tax authority HMRC and employees, remain unpaid. Shareholders are last in line in the bankruptcy proceedings and have no realistic prospect of recovering any investment. This is particularly pertinent for professional asset managers or investors in Ireland with historical exposure to Arrival, who should formally recognize these investments as total losses for accounting and tax purposes.
Arrival’s business model—including its “microfactory” manufacturing model—failed to reach commercialisation, providing a cautionary lesson for Irish and European investors in high-growth EV startups. Despite raising and consuming over $1.5 billion in capital, Arrival never moved beyond R&D and pilot production phases, underlining the crucial risks present in pre-revenue ventures and the importance of rigorous due diligence. For Ireland’s investment community and market analysts, the Arrival collapse exemplifies the need for scrutiny of business plans, supply chain scalability, and transparency, especially in rapidly evolving sectors like electric vehicles.
Regulatory authorities and the bankruptcy trustee in Luxembourg now manage all remaining legal proceedings, with no value or recovery for public shareholders; the incident underscores key SPAC and capital formation risks relevant in the Irish financial context. Arrival’s bankruptcy closes one of the most prominent SPAC-fueled boom-and-bust cycles, serving as a contemporary example for Irish analysts on the dangers of high-profile listings that lack audited financials or sustainable commercial traction. For educational or regulatory discussions in Ireland, this case highlights the potential market and portfolio impacts when investing in speculative, pre-commercialisation companies, underlining the essential need for robust investor protection mechanisms and transparent disclosure standards.
FAQ
What is the latest dividend for Arrival stock?
Arrival does not pay a dividend, as it is a pre-revenue company that never reached commercial operations. Following its bankruptcy and delisting, all dividend distributions have ceased permanently. For investors, it's important to note that the company never established a track record of income payments, focusing solely on growth ambitions before liquidation.
What is the forecast for Arrival stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price of around $0.0003, the projected values would be $0.00039 for the end of 2025, $0.00045 for the end of 2026, and $0.0006 for the end of 2027. However, with the company bankrupt and shares virtually worthless, there is no realistic growth outlook. Arrival’s case highlights the risks associated with investing in early-stage EV companies.
Should I sell my Arrival shares?
For holders of Arrival shares, maintaining your position may be reasonable as the shares now trade at negligible value, meaning further losses are extremely limited. Although the company has ceased operations and delisted, historic volatility and sector lessons provide valuable insights for investors. Holding may allow you to claim a capital loss for tax purposes if you sell in the future, depending on Irish tax regulations.
How are Arrival shares taxed for investors in Ireland?
In Ireland, any gains or losses from Arrival shares are subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT); since Arrival is bankrupt, most investors will realise a loss rather than a gain. This loss can typically be used to offset other capital gains for tax purposes. As Arrival is a foreign stock and delisted, it does not qualify for any local tax-advantaged investment schemes, and investors should ensure transactions and declarations comply with Irish Revenue rules.
What is the latest dividend for Arrival stock?
Arrival does not pay a dividend, as it is a pre-revenue company that never reached commercial operations. Following its bankruptcy and delisting, all dividend distributions have ceased permanently. For investors, it's important to note that the company never established a track record of income payments, focusing solely on growth ambitions before liquidation.
What is the forecast for Arrival stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price of around $0.0003, the projected values would be $0.00039 for the end of 2025, $0.00045 for the end of 2026, and $0.0006 for the end of 2027. However, with the company bankrupt and shares virtually worthless, there is no realistic growth outlook. Arrival’s case highlights the risks associated with investing in early-stage EV companies.
Should I sell my Arrival shares?
For holders of Arrival shares, maintaining your position may be reasonable as the shares now trade at negligible value, meaning further losses are extremely limited. Although the company has ceased operations and delisted, historic volatility and sector lessons provide valuable insights for investors. Holding may allow you to claim a capital loss for tax purposes if you sell in the future, depending on Irish tax regulations.
How are Arrival shares taxed for investors in Ireland?
In Ireland, any gains or losses from Arrival shares are subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT); since Arrival is bankrupt, most investors will realise a loss rather than a gain. This loss can typically be used to offset other capital gains for tax purposes. As Arrival is a foreign stock and delisted, it does not qualify for any local tax-advantaged investment schemes, and investors should ensure transactions and declarations comply with Irish Revenue rules.
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